(My older brother and I watching the movie “X Men:
First Class" in a movie theatre)
My brother: Really? (exasperated) They are going to
start a nuclear war if that Soviet ship crosses that random line? What a silly
plot.
Me: You know, it actually happened.
My brother: What? (Shocked)
Me: Besides the mutants, that is.
Being the sole history lover in my family, it did not
surprise me that my brother had no idea about one of the biggest nuclear crisis
in world history. His words stuck with me though, because the crisis does seem
like a plot taken straight out of a movie, which is perhaps why I find the
Cuban missile crisis an extremely fascination incident in the history of international
relations. But unlike a movie, where the heroes save the day, the real world is
far more complicated and rather than big action sequences, the crisis is resolved
by world leaders sitting behind their desks and negotiating with words, not with
punches. During the Cuban missile crisis the biggest players in the real world
were American President John F Kennedy and the Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev.
Were they the heroes who saved the world or were they merely cleaning up the
huge mess that was their own creation? It’s debatable. I lean more towards the
latter more than the former, but the role the leaders played by coming to their
senses is commendable.
An
incident such as this shows that leaders and diplomats matter. Their ideologies
matter. It also took me back to the reading we did by Graham Allison and Morton
Halperin named "Bureaucratic Politics: A Paradigm and Some Policy
Implications" about states having multiple players with multiple
interests. There were hard liner military sections on both sides who wanted to
call the bluff of the other’s ultimatum but then the leading players matter
even more, as both Kennedy and Khrushchev refused to be aggressive and acted
with the much needed restraint.
Another
thing that the crisis showed was that deterrence works. That “Mutually Assured Destruction”
(MAD: probably my favorite acronym ever!) is a scary enough scenario that it
can force the world leaders to act with restraint and prevent war.
For humanity’s sake, I hope it still works in the future.
Awesome hook and great piece. One thing that I think you'll find interesting is that nuclear war was even closer than you may think. If it were not for the Russian Naval Officer Vasili Arkhipov's decision not to use nuclear torpedoes to respond to U.S. depth charges in international waters, we would have had WWIII. Although of course the big players - Khrushchev and Kennedy - prevented the war from taking place on the global scale, it very well could have started had smaller actors - like Arkhipov - done things differently.
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